Welcome to Bravechart. Your in-depth article on chart analysis from a Scotsman stationed in the Outback.
As traders, we use technical analysis as a reliable method for speculating on future price direction of both equities (shares) and indexes. Technical Analysis in simple terms is the study of historic price movements in a chart in search of patterns or consistently traded support and resistance levels. Today we are looking at a Double Top.
Appearance: A double top Looks like a ‘M’ shape and comprises of:
- A strong rally usually to elevated price levels,
- A bounce off a resistance level (old or new),
- A reversal heading bearish,
- The bearish move comes down to a support level (old or new) and again reverses with bullish movement back towards the previous resistance,
- Failing at Resistance a second time is the first indication of the double top,
- The pattern isn’t confirmed until the support level breaks.
Pattern: The Double Top Pattern is a common chart pattern that can appear after the fact in a bearish market. The idea is to recognise it during the second bounce from resistance, watching the formation early on. Once that support breaks, it is a strong broader reversal pattern, and you can look at managing your positions.
Important Note: The Double Top is only confirmed once it has broken the support level and continued lower. If this doesn’t happen, you would be either looking at a channel forming, or a continuation pattern with further bullish movement.
Rio Tinto a few months ago had this pattern form after a strong rise to roughly $87.00 . As you can see from the below chart, the stock rose up with strong volatility, bounced off resistance, came back down to a support level, once again pushed back up to the previous resistance, and then eventually turned bearish and broke through the support level at $81.50. As you can also see, the stock continued to move lower and has been falling ever since its highs at $87.00 .
There are many ways that you could take advantage of these patterns. As a specialist in derivatives, we are able to profit on a stock when it falls as well as when it rises.
If you would like to learn how to pick a stocks direction, then Join us at our live face to face one day “Technical Analysis, Picking the Direction of a Stock” course.
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