Welcome to Bravechart. Your in-depth article on chart analysis from a Scotsman stationed in the Outback.
As traders, we use technical analysis as a reliable method for speculating on future price direction of both equities (shares) and indexes. Technical Analysis in simple terms is the study of historic price movements in a chart in search of patterns or consistently traded support and resistance levels. Today we are looking at a Double Bottom.
Appearance: A double bottom pattern comprises of:
- A strong rally to the downside with bearish movement and high volatility
- A bounce off a new support level and reversal heading bearish with volatility decreasing
- The bullish move comes up to a resistance level and once again reverses to change bearish
- The second bearish move down comes close to the support level seen before
- The final bullish move up comes after hitting support, with the volatility increasing back up as the bulls take over and breaks the resistance level
Pattern: The Double Bottom Pattern is a common chart pattern you will see when looking at a bullish market. You can see that when the stock hits that key support level, the share price moves up to start looking bullish. Once it has hit its resistance level, it usually changes to bearish straight away, and finally goes bearish to bullish one more time.
Important Note: The Double Bottom is only confirmed once it has broken the resistance level and continued higher. If this doesn’t happen, you would be either looking at a channel forming, or a double bottom possibly changing to a double top and then going on to break support and move lower.
Example: S&P 500 Index
As you can see from the below chart, the US market has fallen and tested the key support level at 2,630 (1) twice now and is starting to look bullish up to the key resistance at 2,817 (2). If this resistance holds, we will be seeing the formation of a triple top, another reversal patter, or the push through and jump higher. The expected open today for the S&P 500 is around 2,820 [3rd December 2018] (4). If this happens, their market will look strongly bullish, and if they can push through the key resistance, will confirm the Double Bottom and start to rise the same amount as the fall. This rise would push them to their highest ever trading point (3) and leave them sitting just under 3,000 (5). With the G20 summit proving key as China and the US agreed to hold tariffs for another four months, we are seeing a strong surge higher in the US off this outcome.
There are many ways that you could take advantage of these patterns. As a specialist in derivatives, we are able to profit on a stock when it falls as well as when it rises.
If you would like to learn how to pick a stocks direction, then Join us at our live face to face one day “Technical Analysis, Picking the Direction of a Stock” course.
Contact us today on 03 8080 5788.
Regards,
Your Freedom Fighter,
Benjamin Farkas