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Discretionary - Newscorp growth mainly from cable
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Materials - Alumina Limited will not lead the recovery
Materials - Orica Dulux demerger extracts value
Industrials - Cabcharge monopoly under threat from ACCC
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This page was last refreshed at: 15:52
Mike Options Trader
Posted by Mike Cornips at 12:22 PM Tue, 18 May 2010


The above chart illustrates how many of the Top 200 stocks (as a percentage) that are above the 50 & 200 day moving average of their respective stock price. Currently only 32% of stocks (red line) are above their 200 day moving average. Only 15% of stocks (green line) are above their 50 day moving average. The ratios are approaching the lows set in March 2009, where both averages were around 10%. The 50 day average is obviously a lot more volatile, but the 200 day average is concerning.

In January 2010, 90% of stocks were above the 200 day average, with the index trading around 5000. With the 50 day unable to match the trend, the market quickly fell away in the last 2 weeks of January. Early April, the index re-tested the 5000 level, but with the market pulling back to 4900, the averages quickly fell away.

Sectors that are still performing are Utilities, REITs, Health Care, Gold, and Coal stocks. With the major capitalisation sectors underperforming, being Materials and Banking, the index is struggling to hold the current levels.
Comments:
Chris at 12:09 PM Fri, 28 May 2010
Hi Mike, i found this article to be invaluable. Often financial information provided by media is interesting but too vague to have practical benefit. I would like to incorporate a moving average over the XJO into my trading and i was wondering how did you get access to those charts; where did you source your data? Regards Chris
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