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Discretionary - Newscorp growth mainly from cable
Industrials - Earnings stabilise and positioned for recovery
Materials - Huge takeover bid - long and expensive road
Telecoms - Earnings and Dividends under pressure
Materials - Revenue skyrockets but Aluminium sick
Financials - Mac Bank well capitalised but needs recovery
Discretionary - Tattersalls - great for income but growth limited
Materials - Alumina Limited will not lead the recovery
Materials - Orica Dulux demerger extracts value
Industrials - Cabcharge monopoly under threat from ACCC
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Interest_Rates - Interest rates and economic growth go hand in hand!
Management - Setting up the right team
Management - Thinking about risk management strategy
Management - Understanding risks being taken
Management - Company risk management not up to scratch
Interest_Rates - Growth without inflation
Economy - Growth forecasts solid
Income Stocks - Stocks with income and growth potential
Gold - Can gold defend a financial crisis? Not likely.
Inflation - RBA holds rates but Inflation not under control
 
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This page was last refreshed at: 15:04
Mike Options Trader
Posted by Mike Cornips at 14:29 PM Tue, 23 Mar 2010


Since late 2007, both State and Federal Governments have been running large deficits to stimulate the economy and maintain expenditure programs.

The current 12 month Federal deficit, as at December 2009, is $52 Billion. Total taxation revenue peaked in October 2008, and has been on a slight decline since then. Expenditure conversely has increased on an annual basis by $50 Billion.

Company tax decreased by 14% in 2009 compared to 2008, and Superannuation tax decreased by 41%. GST collected by the ATO increased by 37%. Overall total revenues decreased by 4% over the same period.

The main drivers in the increase in expenditure between 2008 & 2009 are: Housing & Community Services - up 110%, Education - up 56%, General Public Services - up 45%, Interest Expense - up 41%, Social Security - up 12%, Health - up 9% and Defence - up 6%. Overall expenses increased 15%.

All these deficits feed into the general indebtness of the Governments. Federal debt has increased from $53 Billion in December 2007 to $113 Billion up until December 2009. The States have matched the Feds with a similiar increase of $60 Billion in debt over the same period. So that is a total increase of $120 Billion in two years. In January 2010, another $7 Billion was added. We need to remember that Government debt is future taxation.

In the private sector, total borrowings (see RBA Statistics - D02), increased by $268 Billion from $1,900 Billion to $2,170 Billion. So Australia increased it's borrowings by roughly $388 Billion dollars in 2 years. Where did it all go? You would hope it went into Gross Domestic Product! But GDP only increased by $126 Billion from calender 2007 to 2009. You would need to question our national increase in debt, ie as to how useful it is, especially if we are not using it to produce more things. Next week we will look at this concept more closely by looking at the "utility" of debt over time, and whether there is any correlation between debt and GDP.
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